Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Federal Civilian Earnings Growth
Across Wisconsin Counties
Real* Federal Civilian
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Federal Civilian
Earnings Growth
Wisconsin:
2010-2022 = 2.76%
2022 = 4.90%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real federal civilian earnings growth across all of Wisconsin's 72 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Wisconsin Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real federal civilian earnings growth of Wisconsin's 72 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Federal Civilian
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Federal Civilian
Earnings Growth
Wisconsin:
2010-2022 = 2.76%
2022 = 4.90%
This figure displays the 72 counties of Wisconsin as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real federal civilian earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real federal civilian earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 2.76%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 2.76% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (2.76%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 16 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 56 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 45 counties whose most recent (2022) real federal civilian earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.90%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 27 counties whose real federal civilian earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 72 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 2.76% over 2010-2022 and 4.90% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (2.76%) and near-term (4.90%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.76%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Wisconsin average (4.90%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (2.76%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (4.90%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (2.76%) and near-term (4.90%).
   
 
Summary of Wisconsin's 72 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(4.90%)
Above
(4.90%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(2.76%)
2
14
16
Below
(2.76%)
25
31
56
 
27
45
72
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Wisconsin:
2010-2022 = 2.76%
2022 = 4.90%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Wisconsin counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Wisconsin's average annual real federal civilian earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.76%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.90%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Wisconsin's 72 counties, 14 (19%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Wisconsin:
2010-2022 = 2.76%
2022 = 4.90%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 2 Wisconsin counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.76%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 4.90%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 2 (3%) of Wisconsin's 72 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Wisconsin:
2010-2022 = 2.76%
2022 = 4.90%
This figure shows the distribution of the 31 Wisconsin counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.76%), while they outpaced Wisconsin's average near-term (2022 = 4.90%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Wisconsin's 72 counties, 43% (31) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Wisconsin:
2010-2022 = 2.76%
2022 = 4.90%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 25 Wisconsin counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real federal civilian earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.76%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.90%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
35% of Wisconsin's counties, 25 of 72, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Wisconsin
Real* Federal Civilian Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
12
3.09
 
20
7.76
12,968
 
4
4.47
 
21
7.35
142,190
 
6
3.81
 
30
6.51
647,165
 
2
5.27
 
10
9.11
18,532
 
7
3.58
 
18
8.31
29,991
 
13
2.95
 
26
6.75
54,788
 
15
2.88
 
41
5.55
20,028
 
1
8.05
 
2
13.39
20,654
 
11
3.11
 
22
7.28
22,715
 
5
4.05
 
43
5.38
72,688
 
3
4.63
 
15
8.44
2,466
 
14
2.94
 
8
10.03
15,889
 
8
3.52
 
23
7.03
15,274
 
10
3.17
 
16
8.43
4,066
Slipping Counties
 
16
2.77
 
56
3.53
1,495
 
9
3.28
 
67
1.45
265,957
Gaining Counties
 
40
1.81
 
45
4.91
35,223
 
39
1.84
 
40
5.60
16,537
 
72
-1.91
 
7
10.14
4,987
 
61
0.99
 
42
5.53
15,385
 
28
2.49
 
3
13.07
17,710
 
65
0.52
 
4
11.61
6,114
 
63
0.92
 
44
5.23
36,145
 
47
1.64
 
13
8.80
20,040
 
18
2.70
 
29
6.57
7,787
 
49
1.46
 
39
5.70
4,305
 
53
1.36
 
6
10.31
6,770
 
57
1.13
 
37
5.76
1,139
 
45
1.70
 
11
9.05
3,674
 
17
2.70
 
34
6.05
19,259
 
70
-0.53
 
31
6.43
3,509
 
60
1.03
 
38
5.74
5,103
 
55
1.16
 
19
7.99
7,396
 
48
1.56
 
33
6.34
17,269
 
66
0.43
 
9
9.84
7,568
 
50
1.43
 
25
6.78
36,253
 
31
2.27
 
5
11.10
4,993
 
29
2.40
 
24
6.92
31,118
 
71
-1.16
 
12
8.96
2,334
 
22
2.63
 
36
5.83
7,365
 
44
1.70
 
27
6.71
9,187
 
46
1.69
 
28
6.69
19,006
 
19
2.65
 
32
6.39
11,704
 
23
2.60
 
17
8.39
6,241
 
69
0.17
 
1
13.81
6,981
 
43
1.70
 
35
5.83
80,250
 
30
2.39
 
14
8.77
17,806
Lagging Counties
 
37
1.87
 
61
2.45
10,767
 
26
2.51
 
51
4.48
17,823
 
59
1.08
 
72
-4.70
2,067
 
32
2.27
 
66
1.46
18,593
 
35
2.08
 
55
3.59
8,861
 
36
1.95
 
59
2.68
5,096
 
34
2.16
 
65
1.87
7,850
 
51
1.39
 
62
2.16
7,946
 
58
1.09
 
68
0.93
11,455
 
56
1.16
 
71
-4.50
17,855
 
52
1.39
 
69
-2.42
6,045
 
27
2.50
 
63
1.90
4,066
 
67
0.36
 
48
4.69
40,427
 
41
1.78
 
53
4.10
4,318
 
68
0.19
 
70
-4.34
375
 
21
2.64
 
54
3.67
1,173,404
 
33
2.17
 
58
3.03
14,778
 
64
0.91
 
47
4.70
7,840
 
42
1.77
 
60
2.54
11,605
 
54
1.31
 
64
1.89
5,068
 
25
2.57
 
57
3.39
9,842
 
20
2.65
 
50
4.49
17,725
 
38
1.86
 
52
4.18
24,464
 
24
2.60
 
49
4.60
10,884
 
62
0.94
 
46
4.73
41,602
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.76
 
4.90
3,296,780
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.98
 
3.80
397,841,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_620100_LSGL
 
   
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