Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Diagnosing Employment Growth
Across Wisconsin Counties
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2017 and 2017
Employment Growth by County
Wisconsin:
2010-2017 = 0.87%
2017 = 0.86%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of employment growth across all of Wisconsin's 72 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Wisconsin Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the employment growth of Wisconsin's 72 counties over the latest available year (2017) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2017). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2017 and 2017
Employment Growth by County
Wisconsin:
2010-2017 = 0.87%
2017 = 0.86%
This figure displays the 72 counties of Wisconsin as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2017), and the horizontal axis representing the employment growth rate for the near-term (2017).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.87%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.87% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.87%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 20 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2017, while 52 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 31 counties whose most recent (2017) employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.86%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 41 counties whose employment growth over 2017 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 72 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2017) and near-term (2017) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.87% over 2010-2017 and 0.86% over 2017:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are the thirteen counties whose average annual employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.87%) and near-term (0.86%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are the seven counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.87%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Wisconsin average (0.86%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are the eighteen counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.87%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (0.86%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are the thirty-four counties whose average annual employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.87%) and near-term (0.86%).
   
 
Summary of Wisconsin's 72 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(0.86%)
Above
(0.86%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.87%)
7
13
20
Below
(0.87%)
34
18
52
 
41
31
72
 
   
Leading Counties
2017 vs. 2010-2017 Averages
Leading Counties
Wisconsin:
2010-2017 = 0.87%
2017 = 0.86%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Wisconsin counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Wisconsin's average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2017 = 0.87%) as well as near-term (2017 = 0.86%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2017 as noted in the table below.
Of Wisconsin's 72 counties, 13 (18%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Slipping Counties
2017 vs. 2010-2017 Averages
Slipping Counties
Wisconsin:
2010-2017 = 0.87%
2017 = 0.86%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 7 Wisconsin counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2017 = 0.87%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2017 = 0.86%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2017.
Only 7 ( 10%) of Wisconsin's 72 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Gaining Counties
2017 vs. 2010-2017 Averages
Gaining Counties
Wisconsin:
2010-2017 = 0.87%
2017 = 0.86%
This figure shows the distribution of the 18 Wisconsin counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2017 = 0.87%), while they outpaced Wisconsin's average near-term (2017 = 0.86%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2017.
Of Wisconsin's 72 counties, 25% (18) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Lagging Counties
2017 vs. 2010-2017 Averages
Lagging Counties
Wisconsin:
2010-2017 = 0.87%
2017 = 0.86%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 34 Wisconsin counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2017 = 0.87%) as well as near-term (2017 = 0.86%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2017.
47% of Wisconsin's counties, 34 of 72, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
   
 
Wisconsin
Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2017
 
2017
 
 
Leading Counties
 
12
1.15
 
15
1.46
194,221
 
7
1.29
 
25
1.02
18,440
 
9
1.21
 
7
2.00
32,495
 
4
1.81
 
28
0.92
435,320
 
1
2.70
 
2
3.55
85,604
 
15
1.00
 
3
2.65
8,264
 
19
0.93
 
27
0.95
136,147
 
13
1.12
 
14
1.52
85,359
 
3
2.01
 
18
1.27
48,070
 
8
1.24
 
26
1.02
58,364
 
11
1.17
 
9
1.93
74,972
 
10
1.18
 
16
1.45
312,702
 
16
0.98
 
22
1.06
116,711
Slipping Counties
 
2
2.12
 
72
-3.79
19,182
 
6
1.54
 
45
0.48
34,748
 
17
0.98
 
37
0.72
25,641
 
14
1.11
 
46
0.48
23,332
 
20
0.92
 
42
0.55
88,249
 
5
1.74
 
50
0.29
60,591
 
18
0.97
 
41
0.58
46,577
Gaining Counties
 
33
0.51
 
8
1.95
29,758
 
22
0.85
 
30
0.90
7,210
 
27
0.71
 
5
2.43
7,462
 
26
0.72
 
19
1.19
46,794
 
35
0.45
 
24
1.03
20,583
 
24
0.79
 
17
1.43
75,762
 
47
0.25
 
1
3.69
1,741
 
41
0.41
 
21
1.13
11,861
 
54
0.03
 
29
0.91
44,471
 
53
0.10
 
10
1.85
15,175
 
49
0.21
 
11
1.70
6,327
 
28
0.71
 
6
2.00
28,254
 
34
0.45
 
20
1.14
14,571
 
52
0.14
 
23
1.04
3,980
 
59
-0.11
 
12
1.63
10,387
 
30
0.64
 
13
1.57
74,926
 
29
0.67
 
31
0.88
16,190
 
40
0.41
 
4
2.62
12,742
Lagging Counties
 
64
-0.27
 
67
-0.78
6,241
 
67
-0.50
 
44
0.51
10,689
 
72
-2.54
 
59
-0.13
7,137
 
63
-0.24
 
61
-0.31
10,937
 
46
0.25
 
55
0.09
21,527
 
25
0.76
 
49
0.29
60,349
 
65
-0.31
 
47
0.37
4,660
 
39
0.43
 
54
0.11
29,357
 
69
-0.56
 
58
-0.10
9,671
 
62
-0.17
 
66
-0.68
15,706
 
71
-1.02
 
60
-0.19
2,632
 
44
0.34
 
33
0.85
12,639
 
70
-0.79
 
57
-0.10
10,094
 
56
0.00
 
38
0.65
10,761
 
58
-0.04
 
52
0.16
44,096
 
31
0.55
 
43
0.53
91,687
 
55
0.00
 
64
-0.56
23,869
 
36
0.45
 
63
-0.54
2,413
 
38
0.43
 
48
0.33
604,413
 
61
-0.14
 
65
-0.60
22,913
 
50
0.19
 
40
0.61
17,894
 
23
0.80
 
53
0.16
23,942
 
68
-0.55
 
69
-1.52
8,352
 
37
0.43
 
35
0.74
95,358
 
51
0.15
 
71
-3.73
9,410
 
60
-0.12
 
62
-0.52
7,604
 
48
0.22
 
32
0.86
48,168
 
32
0.52
 
39
0.62
19,861
 
43
0.35
 
36
0.72
12,151
 
21
0.85
 
68
-0.96
20,088
 
42
0.40
 
56
-0.02
8,765
 
66
-0.42
 
70
-1.56
27,026
 
45
0.33
 
34
0.79
9,553
 
57
-0.02
 
51
0.18
48,484
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.87
 
0.86
3,691,630
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.54
 
1.43
196,132,200
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_LSGL
 
   
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